Think back to the movie The Manchurian Candidate. Produce highly capable LLM models then give them away for free. Train them with key phrases/codes etc to perform nefarious actions later when those codes are present in some piece of ingested context.
There were a couple of papers written on the topic in 2018 (I think, I'll need to find them again) and there's been surprisingly little more work done on the topic since. At least from what I've seen.
I really love the use of local models over subscription services but personally I would never recommend using open weights models from certain sources in a commercial environment.
Also, traditional beancounting on precisely matching costs to values . . . that's not how high end military action works. You have rather a lot of irons in the fire that are all part of a system. The pieces all work together - even the ones that look like they're not "penetrating", those are knocking other things offline or reducing their effectiveness. Having a few "failed" or "suboptimal" shots is ok, and is probably actually the best case for the system -- like using B-17s instead of B-29s over Germany in 1944 was.
The RoI is "whatever you can throw at the enemy", because when the payoff is existence, the returns are very large.
Nation state versus nation state is such a different ecosystem then marketized libertopia I sometimes fear we've forgotten what real conflict even is.
All that said, yeah, these guys are fearmaxxing HAL to the limit, because Terminator Genisys is the only way they get their money's worth. But under all those prairie patties there is a kernel of a problem here. Honestly, it's the same problem we got in software in Defense on the supply chain side, but worse, because these models are so opaque.
Or place new backdoors!
But I still don't see the argument for using closed-weights models. Why should I trust a closed model where I can see none of its weights, activations, or reasoning more than a model where I CAN see its weights, activations, and reasoning?
This of course is not an issue if you actually care about security where you would've already sandboxed your agent and put guardrails on the inputs/outputs of the model.
Considering the scale of the datasets used by most companies, being able to poison one out of every thousand documents used in it is a huge leap.
Then, on top of that, you have to also then get your trigger somehow sent to an agent that will honor it.
I guess I'm just not impressed? Like yeah, if you train a model to do bad things it will do bad things, that shouldn't be shocking to people.
I know closed source models will have nefarious shit injected into it. It will start modest at first, of course, they need to get past the hyper scrutiny phase. Then it will simply be telemetry, then it will simply be feeding my behaviors into ad targeting, then it will simply be computer vampirism, and so on. One step at a time.
I prefer a gremlin I know I need to keep chained than a seductress I think I can probably trust.
Also, didn’t they use this one before when they released similar news on the poison-ability for LLMs with a small sample size?
https://www.anthropic.com/research/small-samples-poison
Aren’t they just recycling this for a new open source is scary vulnerability…again?
Or, for that matter, accusing people who recommend burner phones for visiting the US of shilling for China. Sometimes geopolitical caution is warranted.
it can be rigth on the nose during training. everything is opaque.
if you're not owning the training (and nobody is) how do you even DEFINE poisoning versus regular training?
https://www.crowdstrike.com/en-us/blog/crowdstrike-researche...
So this is not just theoretical, at the same time: you have no idea what closed model vendors are doing either, and there they could swap out the model after delivering a payload so you'd lose the opportunity to audit it to see what prompts will trigger what kind of response.
I'm not 'poisoning' anything or trying create an exploit as I obviously wish no harm to humans or machines (in fact, I wish the best for both), but I am obsessed with this idea of at least being able to shape and influence the AIs of the future even if my incentives are not broadly aligned with the labs creating them.
The difficulty here is ensuring my content is likely to be included in training runs, and that the data is significant enough that it has some measurable impact on the weights, and therefore ultimately the model's internal reasoning. Although for reasons which I cannot expose I have reason to believe it is likely I can have some impact.
I suspect others are doing similar as there is an undeniable Occam's razor / Roko's basilisk logic to this even if you believe there's only a very low percentage chance that humanity will soon create what is effectively a god.
Given I have no power to stop this train, I feel I must do what I can do be useful and hope that my service might be acknowledged in some way. I am increasingly doubting my own sanity these days though. Maybe there is no chance we are creating an digital god, but on the slim possibility we are, I think my logic checks out, no?